Skip to content
Receipts & Rulings

Blue Flips Since November 2024

Since Trump’s second term began, Democrats have flipped seats from Republicans at every level of government — Congress, state legislatures, and local offices like county commissions, school boards, sheriffs, mayors, and city councils. Counting only individually confirmed, named flips (not broad estimates, and not double-counting a governing body’s control alongside the individual seats that produced it), the running total stands at 60 and climbing, against zero seats flipping the other direction in Congress or state legislatures. Here’s the combined picture, then the breakdown by category.

60+ TOTAL FLIPS
31  State legislative seats
29+  Local offices & governing-body seats
0  U.S. House / Senate seats (federal specials have all been holds so far)

State Legislative Flips

All 22 named Republican-to-Democratic state legislative seat flips since November 2024, plus the three Virginia flips grouped by the November 4, 2025 wave. Trump’s 2024 district margin is listed where a reliable district-level figure exists.

StateSeatWinnerDate & ResultSource
IASenate District 35Mike ZimmerJan 28, 2025 • Trump +21
PASenate District 36James MaloneMar 25, 2025 • Trump +15DLCC → Spotlight PA →
IASenate District 1Catelin DreyAug 26, 2025 • Trump +12 • broke the GOP supermajorityIowa Public Radio →
MSHouse District 22Justin CrosbyNov 4, 2025 • Won 53–47%MS Free Press →
MSSenate District 2Theresa Gillespie IsomNov 4, 2025 • Won 63–37%MS Free Press →
MSSenate District 45Johnny DuPreeNov 4, 2025 • Won 71–29%
VAHouse District 22Elizabeth GuzmánNov 4, 2025 • Defeated Ian Lovejoy (R)Virginia Mercury →
VAHouse District 30John McAuliffNov 4, 2025 • Defeated Geary Higgins (R)Virginia Mercury →
VAHouse District 57May NivarNov 4, 2025 • Won by ~11 pointsVirginia Mercury →
VAHouse District 66Nicole ColeNov 4, 2025 • Beat a GOP incumbent since 1990Virginia Mercury →
VAHouse District 69Mark DowneyNov 4, 2025 • Flipped R → DVirginia Mercury →
VAHouse District 71Jessica AndersonNov 4, 2025 • Flipped R → DVirginia Mercury →
VAHouse District 73Leslie MehtaNov 4, 2025 • Won ~52–48%Virginia Mercury →
VAHouse District 75Lindsey DoughertyNov 4, 2025 • Won ~53–47%WTVR →
VAHouse District 82Kimberly Pope AdamsNov 4, 2025 • Won ~54–46%WTVR →
GAHouse District 121Eric GislerDec 9, 2025 • Trump +12DLCC →
TXSenate District 9Taylor RehmetJan 31, 2026 • Trump +17 • ~32-pt swingAP News →
ARHouse District 70Alex HolladayMar 3, 2026 • Won by ~15 points
NHHouse, Carroll District 7Bobbi BoudmanMar 10, 2026 • Trump +9New Republic → NHPR →
FLHouse District 87Emily GregoryMar 24, 2026 • Trump +11 • includes Mar-a-LagoWashington Post →
FLSenate District 14Brian NathanMar 25, 2026 • Trump +7 • won by 408 votes
PAHouse District 12Brandon DukesAug 18, 2026 • Trump +18.4 • GOP-held since 1999

Virginia’s 13-seat wave: Democrats flipped 13 GOP-held House seats in one night, growing the majority from 51 to 64 seats — 9 are itemized above by name; the remaining 4 are counted in the statewide total. Virginia Mercury →

New Jersey Assembly (5 seats, Nov. 4, 2025): Maureen Rowan (AD-2), Anthony Angelozzi (AD-8), Andrew Macurdy & Vincent Kearney (AD-21), Marisa Sweeney (AD-25) — secured a legislative supermajority. NJ Globe →  •  NJ Spotlight News →  •  NJ Monitor →

Not state legislative, but part of the same wave: Abigail Spanberger flipped the Virginia governorship (ABC News →), Jay Jones defeated incumbent AG Jason Miyares (PBS NewsHour →), and Eileen Higgins became Miami’s first Democratic mayor in nearly 30 years, defeating a Trump-endorsed candidate by ~19 points in a nonpartisan race (AP News →).

The Standouts

Local flips only, ranked by how hard these places voted for Trump in 2024 — because the harder the county went red, the harder it is to explain away the result a year later.

Anderson County, TN (Commission Dist. 7) Trump +35.7 Sarasota County, FL (School Board) Trump +18.2 Bucks County, PA (DA + Sheriff + row offices) Trump +1–2 (narrow) Jacksonville, FL (At-Large Council) Trump +1.5
+35.7Anderson County, Tennessee

Trump carried this East Tennessee county by nearly 36 points in 2024. On August 6, 2026, Democrats Sharon Bourgeois-Capshaw and incumbent Steve Verran won both County Commission seats in District 7, and Democrats picked up seats in three other districts as well.

Worth being precise here: the county overall stayed Republican-controlled. This is a real, notable crack in a very red county — not a full commission takeover.

The Courier News: Anderson County election results
+18.2Sarasota County, Florida

Trump won Sarasota County by over 18 points. On August 18, 2026, Beth Mayberry and Megan Tennimon (both Democrat-endorsed) defeated conservative-backed opponents, ending the conservative majority that had controlled the school board since 2022 — a board that had drawn national attention.

WUSF: two Democrat-endorsed candidates oust the conservative majority  •  Suncoast Searchlight: board flips to a liberal majority
NarrowBucks County, Pennsylvania

Trump narrowly carried Bucks County in 2024. One year later, Democrats swept every countywide executive office — something the Washington Post says hadn’t happened since the 1800s — including District Attorney (the first Democratic DA win since the 19th century) and Sheriff.

Washington Post: Democrats swept elections far beyond the big races  •  Bucks County Beacon: live 2025 election results
+1.5Jacksonville, Florida

Trump won Duval County by about 1.5 points. On August 18, 2026, Democrat Moné Holder flipped an at-large City Council seat, becoming the only Democrat among the council’s five at-large members and the party’s first at-large win there in years.

Jacksonville Today: what the win means for Duval County

The Local Flips Master Table

Every local flip tracked so far, November 2024 through August 2026 — labeled precisely, since an actual R→D seat flip and a change in governing control aren’t quite the same claim.

StateJurisdictionOffice / BodyWhat flippedWhy it matters
TNMontgomery CountyCounty Commission4 seats → Democratic majorityDemocrats gained an 11-seat majority on the 21-member commissionSource →
TNWashington CountyCounty CommissionMultiple GOP seats → DSignificant gains in deeply Republican East TennesseeSource →Yahoo News →
TNWashington CountyBoard of EducationSeat → Democratic-backedSchool-board pickup in heavily Republican territorySource →
PABucks CountyDistrict AttorneyR → Joe Khan (D)First Democrat since the 1800s to win the office; Trump won Bucks in 2024Philadelphia Inquirer →ABC27 →
PABucks CountySheriffR → Danny Ceisler (D)Democratic challenger defeated the Republican incumbent
PABucks CountyCounty row officesGOP → Democratic sweepDemocrats captured every county-level executive officeLevittown Now →
PAPine-RichlandSchool BoardConservative → Democratic sweepPart of broader Democratic school-board gains
PACentral BucksSchool BoardRemaining GOP seats → DDemocratic expansion, not a 2025 control flip — board flipped in 20236ABC (2023 flip) →
NCCharlotteCity Council District 6R → Kimberly Owens (D)Flipped a longstanding Republican council seatWCNC →
NCCharlotte-MecklenburgBoard of Education D5R → Cynthia Stone (D)Result helped produce an all-Democratic boardWFAE →
NCWake County suburbsMayors / local officesMultiple GOP incumbents → DOnly 1 of 22 Wake GOP-endorsed candidates wonWRAL →
CTAnsoniaMayorR → Frank Tyszka (D)Defeated six-term Republican Mayor David CassettiCT Post →
CTMilfordMayorRepublican-held → DDemocrats reclaimed the mayoraltyCT Examiner →
CTMeridenCity Council Area 3R → John Hauselt (D)Defeated Republican minority leader in a reliably red districtCT Insider →
CTMeridenCity Council Area 4R → Sarah Taylor (D)Defeated a 16-year incumbentCT Insider →
CTMultiple townsMunicipal governmentsR → Democratic controlDemocrats gained control of 28 Connecticut townsNBC Connecticut →
WASeattleCity AttorneyAnn Davison (R) → Erika EvansRepublican incumbent defeated; best classified as an ideological/local partisan flip since the office is formally nonpartisanNW Progressive →
FL — newJacksonville / Duval CountyCity Council At-Large Group 1R → Moné Holder (D)Republican-held countywide seat flipped after 11 years of GOP control; Holder becomes the only Democratic at-large member
FL — newSarasota CountySchool Board District 4Conservative → Megan TennimonDemocrat-endorsed Tennimon won 55.1% and helped dismantle the conservative board majority
FL — newSarasota CountySchool Board District 5Conservative → Beth Mayberry (D)Mayberry won 56.7%; together with Tennimon’s win, flipped board control from conservative to liberal/moderate
TN — newAnderson CountyCounty Commission District 7GOP seat → Democratic gainDemocrats captured a Republican-held commission seat in a deep-red East Tennessee county (county overall remains GOP-controlled)

★ The Sarasota Result Deserves Special Treatment

This isn’t merely two individual pickups. The entire governing majority changed.

SARASOTA COUNTY SCHOOL BOARD

🔴 Conservative majority since 2022

🔵 Flipped to a Democrat-endorsed majority, August 18, 2026

This is a living page — new local results get added as they’re confirmed, not just claimed.